The other side of the coin - LA GACETA Tucumán

2022-10-01 09:54:57 By : Mr. Kent Wong

In the life of Argentina there is a before and after the attempt to kill Cristina Fernández de Kirchner.According to a study by Ricardo Rouvier y Asociados, this fact provoked indignation in 54% of those surveyed and caused fear in 21% of those consulted.Among the rest, 15% do not even take the attack seriously and the other 7% are absolutely indifferent.The latter may be the most disinterested in life itself or perhaps they are planning to leave the country because if something happened as a result of the assassination attempt, it is that the chessboard of Argentina changed.Until that Thursday in which this month began, it was the accusation of the prosecutor Diego Luciani and inflation that took away the reality of Argentines.The government was a wreck, as if the forwards of South Africa and Los Pumas had passed it over together.Bewildered and erratic they took him ahead.It was at that moment that Fernando Sabag Montiel's weapon appeared on television.Now, 18 days later, Cristina's image has improved compared to August.However, 60% of those interviewed by Ricardo Rouvier's consultant continue to consider her guilty of the acts of corruption for which she is being tried.And exactly the same thing happens to the management of Alberto Fernández de Kirchner.They fail to raise her image even when the economic data has stopped the gale.That dramatic reality of the ruling party had become the ideal food for the inmates.They were corroding the body of Peronism that found no other consolation than to accept the hypothesis of a defeat next year.In 18 days everything turned around.They lined up behind Cristina.Alberto recognized that he does not lead anything.He dedicated himself to inaugurating sidewalk cordons and left the vice president to lead everything and Sergio Massa to govern at ease.And these movements are already beginning to be noticed in the electoral scenario that -according to Rouvier- keeps Together for Change at the top -with Horacio Rodríguez Larreta at the head among the opposition candidates- with 31%.It is the same number that the previous measurement of August had.On the other hand, Massa, in the ruling party, grows and reaches 22% and the one who did go back was Javier Milei who obtained 19%.The episode that occurred at the foot of the Recoleta building where the vice president lives has brought to the fore an issue that has occupied many years in the life of Argentina.It is about the relationship between violence and politics.This question does not have clear limits and the main actors in public life are so timid that they avoid the debate.However, reality always hits them with a blow.This unpresentable "Banda de los copitos" put them on the ropes and in the case of Tucumán, the murder of the San Martín fan also challenges all those who have a public voice;specifically to the two governors, the interim and the licensed.It is difficult to find an intelligent climate to debate -and eradicate?- the link between violence and politics.Both the national government and the opposition do not contribute in that sense because they inevitably think –and know- that in a few months Argentines will be in front of the polls making the most important decision, which is to delegate the power that the citizen has.So much so that the ruling party, instead of analyzing and processing the attack on Cristina through the microscope of history, is concerned about overacting the victimization.For their part, opponents have done something similar by trying to trivialize the episode that, whether the indifferent and unbelieving like it or not, has changed the political life of the country.In recent days, it has returned the lost centrality to the vice president who came if she could raise her head.After different pushes and loosens, Peronism has aligned itself behind her and has even opened the possibility of a dialogue.Curiously, it has been the vice president herself who has promoted this initiative (Alberto had tried, but nothing is credible in her mouth) to the point that she has said with whom she should talk.Cristina has chosen Mauricio Macri as the valid interlocutor.This has shaken the disorder of the opposition that has Facundo Manes with a net 11% in his image (39.9% positive and 28.8% negative) while Rodríguez Larreta barely gets a 7.8 (52.9 %, positive and 45%, negative).Macri, on the other hand, presents a negative net image.He reaches -28.6 (34.8% positive and 63.4% negative).In this rare Argentina in which a new chapter has been opened in which it seems that a debate is possible, Justice becomes a central value.Shaken and devalued by the power of the day, she now faces a new challenge to strengthen her independence.Without wanting it, the prosecutor Diego Luciani has become a benchmark of that Justice.In this framework, in the last survey carried out by Jorge Giacobbe, those consulted were asked to spontaneously define the prosecutor with one word.Most agreed on an adjective that is not typical of Justice: Brave.In second place are those who defined him as Honest, in third place those who defined him as a hero and in fourth place, those who classified him as corrupt.Being the same query about Cristina, there were two spontaneous answers that were strongly imposed on the others: Naughty and corrupt, were the words.In third place was the word leader.Justice plays a very important card in the investigation of the unseemly and prestigious Banda de los Copitos.In this investigation, he has been demonstrating a meticulous work that contributes to recovering that image lost by Justice when he began to dance, already in Menem times, to the beat of the powers that be.In the ruling party of Tucuman, the discussion for the candidacy for governor seems to have ended.As the months progress, the figure of the interim governor is consolidated, whom the most obsessive Manzurists discuss less and less.However, after the fierce battle of the previous elections, it will be very difficult for all the wounds to arrive healed in next year's elections.In terms of negotiation, it is clear that some terms of the agreement are still pending, which, on the other hand, they are both aware of.In this intricacy, the hypothetical candidacy for mayor of the capital of the current national deputy Rossana Chahla is noted.Nor has it been defined who would stay with the surrogate presidency of the Chamber.Following the almost certain idea that Juan Manzur will join the formula and would go as a candidate for lieutenant governor and therefore would be the lord and master of the Legislature.This task is well known by the current chief of staff since it was the catapult he used in times when José Alperovich governed and Manzur was the number 1 "sijosesista".All this if the governor's plan B in use of license does not end up being effective.Despite the fact that he has suffered more devaluations than the peso, Manzur remains confident that he can become part of a presidential ticket.Following the assumptions that the ruling party will triumph, Manzur would not want to relinquish control of the Legislature and its finances, since it has always been very important for political management.If he ends up back in Buenos Aires, he doesn't want to leave that possibility to Jaldo.It would be too much.That is why third place in the line of succession is something that is at stake despite the fact that so much is missing.In short, he doesn't want the same thing to happen to him twice.Just in case Peronism were to win and he would play a national role, he needs to guarantee control of that juicy legislative box and for that he must ensure that the surrogate president is his man.And, if so, it is possible that Senator Pablo Yedlin will have to be notified that he should lead a coupling for the Capital.Perhaps the same could happen to deputy Mario Leito.The electoral unfolding (first they would vote in Tucumán and then in the National) allows these electoral devices that do nothing but continue deforming the necessary assessment of the institutions and not subordinate them to the personal whims of the leaders.But not everything is rosy for the ruling party, nor do things go smoothly.When the political groupings are measured, Together for Change follows first with 32%, but the Front of All is close to 30%.The libertarians lose strength and are third with 20% and then the Left Front appears, which grows and approaches 5%.That's what Rouvier's systematic monitoring of public opinion says between September 4 and 14 with 1,200 telephone interviews.There are also measurements on the interim governor's desk.They do not say that Peronism is down, but the difference of about 10 points with the opposition is a latent concern.